Chiefs vs. Chargers: odds, line, spread: 2020 NFL picks, predictions from model on 100-65 roll The Kansas City Chiefs have a Super Bowl repeat on their minds,
and the road continues on Sunday with an AFC West battle against the Los Angeles Chargers. Kansas City brought back 20 of the 22 starters who helped the team get past the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV. That includes quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who won the league MVP in his first year as a full-time starter and became a champion in his second. His cache of weapons remains, including All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce, while rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire made a splash in a 34-20 win against Houston in the opener.
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Kansas City is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Chargers odds at William Hill, up two from the opener, while the over-under is 47. Before you make any Chargers vs. Chiefs picks of your own, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago. It went a perfect 4-0 on top-rated NFL picks in Week 1, including calling easy covers by the Ravens and Bills. The model enters Week 2 on an incredible 100-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Chargers. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Chargers vs. Chiefs:
Chiefs vs. Chargers spread: Kansas City: -8.5
Chiefs vs. Chargers over-under: 47
Chiefs vs. Chargers money line: Kansas City -410, Los Angeles +330
KC: TE Travis Kelce had at least three receptions in all 19 games last season
LAC: RB Austin Ekeler topped 60 receiving yards eight times last season.
Why the Chiefs can cover
The road team is 12-3-1 against the spread in the last 16 meetings between the teams. Edwards-Helaire ran for 138 yards and a touchdown in his debut, while Kelce, Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill also scored in the victory. Mahomes threw for just 211 yards, but had three TD passes and no interceptions, completed 75 percent of his attempts and was sacked just once.
The Chiefs are 8-3-1 against the spread in division games since 2018, and the defense made major strides late last season. The unit allowed 10.4 points per game over its last five in 2019, and the front can cause plenty of trouble for quarterbacks. Safety Tyrann Mathieu is the soul of the unit, and he had eight tackles to lead the team in the opener.
Why the Chargers can cover
Los Angeles is 7-3-2 in its past 12 games as an underdog, and Tyrod Taylor is holding down the quarterback spot until rookie Justin Herbert is ready. The veteran was mistake-free in throwing for 208 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions against Cincinnati, and his legs can get him out of trouble. He has reliable options in receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who both topped 1,000 yards last season and combined for 106 in Sunday’s victory.
Tight end Hunter Henry, who had 55 receptions last season, led the team with 73 yards in the opener, including a 33-yard catch that sparked a stagnant offense. Running back Austin Ekeler is dangerous as both a runner and a receiver, and he caught 92 passes for 993 yards last season. The fourth-year pro had one catch against the Bengals but ran for 84 yards.
The defensive tone is set by Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, who combined for 18.5 sacks in 2019.
How to make Chiefs vs. Chargers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, as Mahomes throws for more than 275 yards and Ekeler approaches 100 total yards. It also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.